14 Kasım 2012 Çarşamba

Sophisters, economists and calculators

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So...  I and a million others will parse this after the fact, but for the record the final prognostications of Nate Silver, aka 538, and Unskewed Polls are below. Silver says Obama gets 313 electoral votes. Unskewed says 263. Some anti-538 rhetoric has been bubbling though the election season for sure, but I am suprised it continues even today with this. Jonah Goldberg in LATimes: Nate Silver's numbers racket.

I mean..  at this point why dig a hole for yourself?  We will see soon whose prediction worked out better.  If Silver is wrong, plenty of time to gloat ex post.  If his prediction works out better then you are now on the record as being anti-math. But I was reminded by Goldberg of the Burke quote used in the title here.   If only wordsmithing was akin to statistics.



  

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